Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide

I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.

This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.

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New York City FC – Philadelphia Union 2–3Major League Soccer · USA · 17/08 00:00 · ☁ 22°1✗ 57%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 78%
Chicago Fire – Portland Timbers 2–1Major League Soccer · USA · 17/08 00:00 · ⛅ 28°1✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 63%
FC Cincinnati II – Connecticut FC 2–3MLS Next Pro · USA · 17/08 00:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✓ 68%
Perez Zeledon – Inter San Carlos 0–1Primera División · Costa-Rica · 17/08 00:00 · 🌧 21°1✗ 51%X2+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 65%
Inca Aruba – Firpo 0–0Primera Division · El-Salvador · 17/08 00:001X2✗ 70%+1.5✗ 80%GG+2.5✗ 58%
Sol de América – Bartolomé Mitre 2–1Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17/08 00:001✓ 51%X2+1.5✓ 58%GG+2.5
Corinthians – Cruzeiro 1–2Serie A · Brazil · 17/08 00:30 · ☀ 21°1✗ 47%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Portland Hearts of Pine – Forward Madison 1–2USL League One · USA · 17/08 00:301✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 73%GG✓ 52%+2.5
Deportivo La Guaira – Zamora FC 6–1Primera División · Venezuela · 17/08 00:30 · ☁ 22°1X✗ 38%2+1.5GG+2.5
Club Tijuana U21 – Cruz Azul U21 0–0Liga MX U21 · Mexico · 17/08 00:451✗ 40%X2+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 66%
Union Omaha – Richmond Kickers 5–1USL League One · USA · 17/08 01:001✓ 68%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG✓ 53%+2.5✓ 62%
North Carolina Courage W – Houston Dash W 2–3NWSL Women · USA · 17/08 01:001✗ 50%X2+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 60%+2.5✓ 60%
Huntsville City – Inter Miami II 2–0MLS Next Pro · USA · 17/08 01:001✓ 61%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 75%
New England II – Philadelphia Union II 3–4MLS Next Pro · USA · 17/08 01:00 · ☁ 20°1✗ 49%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 57%
Club America – Atletico San Luis 3–0Liga MX · Mexico · 17/08 01:001✓ 66%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✗ 63%+2.5✓ 71%
Suchitepéquez – Marquense 1–2Liga Nacional · Guatemala · 17/08 01:001✗ 50%X2+1.5✓ 77%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 53%
Guadalajara W – Atlético San Luis W 3–1Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 17/08 01:001✓ 68%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 76%
Carabobo FC – Metropolitanos FC 1–0Primera División · Venezuela · 17/08 01:00 · 🌦 27°1✓ 45%X2+1.5✗ 63%GG+2.5
Barracas Central – Rosario Central 0–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 17/08 01:15 · ☁ 15°1✗ 36%X2+1.5✗ 62%GG+2.5
Central Cordoba de Santiago – Instituto Cordoba 0–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 17/08 01:15 · ☁ 14°1✗ 37%X2+1.5✗ 58%GG+2.5
Alianza FC – Plaza Amador 2–4Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama · 17/08 01:15 · ☁ 26°1X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 82%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 60%
CD Olimpia – CD Motagua 3–1Liga Nacional · Honduras · 17/08 01:15 · ☁ 25°1X2✗ 42%+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 63%
Cienciano – Deportivo Garcilaso 0–0Primera División · Peru · 17/08 01:30 · ⛅ 10°1✗ 56%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Colón – La Luz 2–1Segunda División · Uruguay · 17/08 01:301✓ 38%X2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Independiente Petrolero – Gualberto Villarroel SJ 1–0Primera División · Bolivia · 17/08 01:30 · ☀ 15°1✓ 43%X2+1.5✗ 70%GG+2.5
Deportes Iquique – Antofagasta 1–1Primera B · Chile · 17/08 02:001✗ 46%X2+1.5✓ 72%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Aucas – LDU de Quito 0–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 17/08 02:00 · 🌦 11°1X2✓ 35%+1.5✗ 66%GG+2.5
UNAN Managua – Jalapa 2–1Primera Division · Nicaragua · 17/08 02:001✓ 83%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG+2.5✓ 55%
Platense – FAS 2–1Primera Division · El-Salvador · 17/08 02:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 78%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 54%
AD Cofutpa – ADR Jicaral 0–1Liga de Ascenso · Costa-Rica · 17/08 02:001X2✓ 60%+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
Austin – FC Dallas 1–2Major League Soccer · USA · 17/08 02:30 · ☀ 34°1✗ 35%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Angel City W – Washington Spirit W 1–1NWSL Women · USA · 17/08 03:001X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 72%GG✓ 52%+2.5
Santos Laguna – Guadalajara Chivas 0–1Liga MX · Mexico · 17/08 03:101X2✓ 36%+1.5✗ 55%GG+2.5
Olancho – Juticalpa 1–0Liga Nacional · Honduras · 17/08 03:301✓ 72%X2+1.5✗ 71%GG+2.5
Los Angeles FC II – Tacoma Defiance 4–3MLS Next Pro · USA · 17/08 04:001✓ 52%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG✓ 61%+2.5✓ 62%
Seattle Sounders – Vancouver Whitecaps 0–2Major League Soccer · USA · 17/08 04:30 · ⛅ 18°1X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 87%GG✗ 69%+2.5✗ 69%
The Town – St. Louis City II 0–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 17/08 04:301✗ 58%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✗ 60%+2.5✗ 63%
Club Tijuana – Cruz Azul 2–1Liga MX · Mexico · 17/08 05:001✓ 43%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 72%
Mohammedan – PoliceCalcutta Premier Division · India · 17/08 11:30138%X2+1.573%GG53%+2.5
Melbourne Victory II – Northcote City 0–1Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · 17/08 12:151✗ 46%X2+1.5✗ 83%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 62%
Bulleen Lions – North Sunshine Eagles 2–1Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · 17/08 12:301✓ 41%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 55%
Molde II – Rosenborg II 3–03. Division – Girone 2 · Norway · 17/08 15:001✓ 53%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✗ 86%+2.5✓ 91%
Bossekop – Tromsø II 3–33. Division – Girone 5 · Norway · 17/08 16:001X2✗ 48%+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 78%
Kallithea – Larisa 1–3Cup · Greece · 17/08 16:001X2✓ 62%+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 78%
Gnistan – Ilves 3–2Veikkausliiga · Finland · 17/08 17:001✓ 49%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 69%+2.5✓ 71%
Šiauliai – Panevėžys 1–0A Lyga · Lithuania · 17/08 17:001✓ 40%X2+1.5✗ 84%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 63%
Slovan Bratislava II – Humenné 3–02. liga · Slovakia · 17/08 17:00 · ⛈ 22°1✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG✗ 59%+2.5✓ 58%
Polessya – Zorya Luhansk 1–2Premier League · Ukraine · 17/08 17:001✗ 59%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 68%
Chernomorets 1919 Burgas – CSKA Sofia II 0–1Second League · Bulgaria · 17/08 17:001X2✓ 49%+1.5✗ 62%GG+2.5
Auda – Grobiņa 3–2Cup · Latvia · 17/08 17:00 · ☁ 17°1✓ 37%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Necaxa U21 – Club Leon U21 2–2Liga MX U21 · Mexico · 17/08 17:001X2✗ 51%+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 51%+2.5
Pachuca U21 – Puebla U21 0–1Liga MX U21 · Mexico · 17/08 17:151X2✓ 50%+1.5✗ 73%GG✗ 50%+2.5
Zalaegerszegi TE – Ferencvarosi TC 0–1NB I · Hungary · 17/08 17:30 · ☁ 24°1✗ 78%X2+1.5✗ 99%GG✗ 86%+2.5✗ 96%
Universitatea Cluj – Uta Arad 2–1Liga I · Romania · 17/08 17:301✓ 70%X2+1.5✓ 80%GG+2.5✓ 58%
HJK W – KuPS WKansallinen Liiga · Finland · 17/08 17:30 · ⛅ 20°163%X2+1.590%GG69%+2.575%
Džiugas Telšiai – Suduva Marijampole 0–2A Lyga · Lithuania · 17/08 17:45 · ☁ 16°1✗ 35%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Brann II – Os 1–33. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✗ 54%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 81%+2.5✓ 86%
Stord – Åsane II 2–23. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 17/08 18:001X2✗ 45%+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 77%+2.5✓ 79%
Staal Jørpeland – Haugesund II 3–43. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✗ 39%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 79%+2.5✓ 81%
Varhaug – Stabæk II 2–03. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✓ 44%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✗ 77%+2.5✗ 80%
Viking II – Madla 1–13. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✗ 67%X2+1.5✓ 94%GG✓ 75%+2.5✗ 84%
Fram – Sarpsborg 08 II 3–03. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✗ 68%+2.5✓ 71%
Lillehammer – Lyn II 4–13. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 17/08 18:001✓ 60%X2+1.5✓ 97%GG✓ 83%+2.5✓ 89%
Gagra – Spaeri 1–1Erovnuli Liga · Georgia · 17/08 18:00 · ☁ 21°1✗ 34%X2+1.5✓ 67%GG+2.5
Nõmme United II – Nõmme Kalju II 2–0Esiliiga A · Estonia · 17/08 18:00 · ⛅ 17°1✓ 47%X2+1.5✓ 91%GG✗ 74%+2.5✗ 76%
Spartak Varna – Septemvri Sofia 0–1First League · Bulgaria · 17/08 18:00 · ☀ 21°1✗ 65%X2+1.5✗ 76%GG+2.5✗ 52%
Třinec – Ústí nad Labem 0–0FNL · Czech-Republic · 17/08 18:00 · 🌧 18°1X2✗ 48%+1.5✗ 77%GG✗ 55%+2.5✗ 53%
FC Noah – Alashkert 1–0Premier League · Armenia · 17/08 18:00 · ⛅ 21°1✓ 40%X2+1.5✗ 94%GG✗ 80%+2.5✗ 83%
Santiago Morning – Colina 2–1Segunda División · Chile · 17/08 18:001X✗ 42%2+1.5GG+2.5
Molinos El Pirata – Union Comercio 1–2Segunda División · Peru · 17/08 18:001✗ 34%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Kvik Trondheim – Aalesund II 3–23. Division – Girone 2 · Norway · 17/08 18:301✓ 45%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 70%+2.5✓ 71%
Spartak Kostroma – FC UFA 1–1First League · Russia · 17/08 18:301✗ 64%X2+1.5✓ 89%GG✓ 65%+2.5✗ 72%
BK Hacken – Halmstad 1–0Allsvenskan · Sweden · 17/08 19:001✓ 56%X2+1.5✗ 85%GG✗ 63%+2.5✗ 65%
KFUM II – Nordstrand 7–23. Division – Girone 1 · Norway · 17/08 19:001✓ 39%X2+1.5✓ 92%GG✓ 77%+2.5✓ 79%
Brondby – Sonderjyske 3–2Superliga · Denmark · 17/08 19:001✓ 46%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Arka Gdynia – Puszcza Niepołomice 3–0I Liga · Poland · 17/08 19:00 · ☁ 16°1✓ 72%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 53%+2.5✓ 65%
Felgueiras 1932 – AVS 1–1Segunda Liga · Portugal · 17/08 19:00 · ☀ 33°1✗ 34%X2+1.5✓ 69%GG+2.5
Hapoel Ramat Gan – Beitar Jerusalem 3–3Toto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 17/08 19:001✗ 54%X2+1.5✓ 93%GG✓ 76%+2.5✓ 80%
Maccabi Haifa – Hapoel Katamon 0–1Toto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 17/08 19:001✗ 54%X2+1.5✗ 95%GG✗ 81%+2.5✗ 85%
Al Jazira – Yarmouk 2–0Division 1 · Kuwait · 17/08 19:151X2✗ 55%+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 64%+2.5✗ 66%
Al Sulaibikhat – Al Sahel 0–0Division 1 · Kuwait · 17/08 19:151X2✗ 47%+1.5✗ 73%GG✗ 51%+2.5
Burgan – Shamiya 4–1Division 1 · Kuwait · 17/08 19:151✓ 46%X2+1.5✓ 74%GG✓ 53%+2.5
Sporty – Khaitan 0–5Division 1 · Kuwait · 17/08 19:151X2✓ 60%+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Vänersborgs IF – Vänersborgs FK 0–2Division 2 – Norra Götaland · Sweden · 17/08 19:301X2✓ 43%+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 55%
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto – Atletico Tucuman 0–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 17/08 19:45 · ☁ 13°1X✗ 35%2+1.5✗ 57%GG+2.5
All Boys – Nueva Chicago 1–0Primera Nacional · Argentina · 17/08 20:00 · ☀ 30°1✓ 47%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Centro Español – Central Cordoba 2–2Primera C · Argentina · 17/08 20:001✗ 36%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Deportivo Español – Sacachispas 0–0Primera C · Argentina · 17/08 20:001X✓ 41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Leones de Rosario – Defensores de Cambaceres 2–0Primera C · Argentina · 17/08 20:001X✗ 35%2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Valur Reykjavik – KA Akureyri 4–4Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 17/08 20:001✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 90%GG✓ 73%+2.5✓ 75%
IR Reykjavik – Njardvik 3–11. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 20:001✓ 45%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 55%
De Graafschap – Jong AZ 2–5Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · 17/08 20:00 · ⛅ 17°1X2✓ 34%+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Jong Ajax – Emmen 4–6Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · 17/08 20:001X2✓ 41%+1.5✓ 76%GG✓ 55%+2.5✓ 52%
Jong Utrecht – Vitesse 1–3Eerste Divisie · Netherlands · 17/08 20:001X2✓ 47%+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Novi Pazar – Vojvodina 2–0Super Liga · Serbia · 17/08 20:00 · ⛅ 24°1✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 68%
Dečić – Bokelj 1–0First League · Montenegro · 17/08 20:00 · ⛅ 25°1✓ 37%X2+1.5✗ 69%GG+2.5
América Mineiro U20 – Betim U20 0–0Mineiro U20 · Brazil · 17/08 20:001✗ 63%X2+1.5✗ 83%GG✗ 56%+2.5✗ 62%
Völsungur – Vestri 2–01. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 20:00 · 🌫 11°1✓ 40%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✗ 66%+2.5✗ 65%
Grindavik – Grotta 0–01. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 20:001X2✗ 38%+1.5✗ 68%GG+2.5
Leiknir R. – Ægir 6–11. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 20:001✓ 58%X2+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 67%+2.5✓ 71%
São Caetano – Santo André 0–1Copa Paulista · Brazil · 17/08 20:001✗ 38%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 68%+2.5✗ 68%
Arda Kardzhali – Lokomotiv Sofia 3–1First League · Bulgaria · 17/08 20:151X✗ 35%2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
FCSB – FC Botosani 3–2Liga I · Romania · 17/08 20:30 · ☀ 25°1✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 62%+2.5✓ 63%
Batman Petrolspor – Boluspor 2–01. Lig · Turkey · 17/08 20:301✓ 48%X2+1.5✓ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 68%
Santamarina – Fundacion Amigos 2–0Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17/08 20:30 · ☀ 11°1X✗ 41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Sportivo Belgrano – Defensores de Belgrano VR 0–2Torneo Federal A · Argentina · 17/08 21:00 · 🌦 13°1✗ 48%X2+1.5✓ 63%GG+2.5
Fram Reykjavik – Stjarnan 3–1Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 17/08 21:151✓ 53%X2+1.5✓ 95%GG✓ 82%+2.5✓ 86%
Afturelding – HK Kopavogur 2–21. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 21:15 · ☁ 11°1✗ 65%X2+1.5✓ 96%GG✓ 81%+2.5✓ 88%
Throttur Reykjavik – Fylkir 3–11. Deild · Iceland · 17/08 21:151✓ 51%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 65%
Casa Pia – Benfica 0–7Primeira Liga · Portugal · 17/08 21:15 · ☀ 24°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 83%GG✗ 63%+2.5✓ 62%
Botafogo U17 – Flamengo RJ U17 2–2Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 17/08 21:301X2✗ 40%+1.5✓ 88%GG✓ 71%+2.5✓ 71%
3 de Noviembre – Atlético Tembetary 3–0Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 17/08 21:301X2✗ 45%+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Lanus – Independiente 1–3Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 17/08 22:001✗ 42%X2+1.5✓ 61%GG+2.5
Santos – Alianza Universidad 3–3Segunda División · Peru · 17/08 22:00 · ⛅ 18°1X✓ 40%2+1.5GG+2.5
Deportes Santa Cruz – San Luis 0–2Primera B · Chile · 18/08 00:00 · ⛅ 22°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 79%GG✗ 58%+2.5✗ 55%
Deportes Copiapo – Curico Unido 4–0Primera B · Chile · 18/08 00:001✓ 50%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✗ 53%+2.5✓ 51%
General Caballero – Tacuary 4–1Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 18/08 00:001✓ 57%X2+1.5✓ 85%GG✓ 63%+2.5✓ 66%
Velez Sarsfield – Defensa Y Justicia 1–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 18/08 00:15 · 🌦 11°1✗ 44%X2+1.5✓ 65%GG+2.5
Internacional – Remo 1–1Serie A · Brazil · 18/08 01:00 · ⛅ 19°1✗ 50%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG✓ 53%+2.5✗ 51%
Ferroviária – Paysandu 4–0Serie C · Brazil · 18/08 01:00 · ☀ 23°1✓ 36%X2+1.5✓ 55%GG+2.5
Guarani Campinas – Ypiranga-RS 2–2Serie C · Brazil · 18/08 01:00 · ☀ 21°1✗ 57%X2+1.5✓ 75%GG+2.5✓ 51%
León W – Querétaro W 0–1Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 18/08 01:001✗ 48%X2+1.5✗ 86%GG✗ 67%+2.5✗ 68%
Macara – Universidad Catolica 1–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 18/08 02:00 · 🌦 13°1✗ 41%X2+1.5✓ 57%GG+2.5
Toluca W – Atlas W 1–1Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 18/08 02:00 · 🌦 14°1✗ 75%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG+2.5✗ 63%
Gimnasia M. – Talleres Cordoba 3–1Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 18/08 02:30 · ⛅ 7°1X✗ 35%2+1.5✓ 58%GG+2.5
Palestino – Huachipato 5–1Primera División · Chile · 18/08 02:301✓ 54%X2+1.5✓ 70%GG+2.5
Deportes Temuco – Recoleta 1–1Primera B · Chile · 18/08 02:30 · ☀ 4°1X2✗ 39%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 68%+2.5✗ 67%
Necaxa – Leon 1–2Liga MX · Mexico · 18/08 03:001✗ 47%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Tauro FC – CD Arabe Unido 0–1Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama · 18/08 03:001✗ 46%X2+1.5✗ 57%GG+2.5
Pitbulls Santa Barbara FC – CS Uruguay 2–1Liga de Ascenso · Costa-Rica · 18/08 03:001✓ 42%X2+1.5✓ 84%GG✓ 64%+2.5✓ 63%
Santos Laguna W – Monterrey W 1–4Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · 18/08 03:061X2✓ 69%+1.5✓ 86%GG✓ 58%+2.5✓ 68%
Sporting San Jose – Escorpiones Belén 2–0Primera División · Costa-Rica · 18/08 04:00 · ☀ 20°1✓ 47%X2+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
CF Pachuca – Puebla 2–3Liga MX · Mexico · 18/08 05:06 · ⛅ 12°1X2✓ 47%+1.5✓ 71%GG+2.5
Illescas – SS Reyes IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 10:00139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Tsirang – Bhutan U19Premier League · Bhutan · 18/08 11:001X240%+1.588%GG71%+2.571%
SD Raiders – SydneyAustralia Cup · Australia · 18/08 11:30 · ⛅ 13°1X268%+1.591%GG67%+2.576%
Bidhannagar – United KolkataCalcutta Premier Division · India · 18/08 11:301X290%+1.593%GG+2.581%
Patha Chakra – RailwayCalcutta Premier Division · India · 18/08 11:301X251%+1.582%GG61%+2.561%
Andranik – Olympia YerevanFirst League · Armenia · 18/08 14:30163%X2+1.598%GG86%+2.592%
Persib Bandung – Bali UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 14:30 · ☁ 22°160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Fountain Gate – MashujaaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 18/08 15:001X249%+1.586%GG66%+2.567%
Mika – Lernayin ArtsakhFirst League · Armenia · 18/08 15:00 · ⛅ 30°154%X2+1.597%GG85%+2.589%
Sardarapat 2 – Noah IIFirst League · Armenia · 18/08 15:001X248%+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Thailand – SingaporeASEAN Championship · World · 18/08 15:00 · ☁ 28°151%X2+1.555%GG+2.5
Sogdiana – QizilqumSuper League · Uzbekistan · 18/08 16:00 · ☀ 28°143%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Regar-TadAZ – ParvozVysshaya Liga · Tajikistan · 18/08 16:00154%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
St. Gallen II – Taverne1. Liga Classic – Group 3 · Switzerland · 18/08 16:00159%X2+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Toktogul – AsiagoalPremier League · Kyrgyzstan · 18/08 16:00136%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
CSM Reşiţa – Petrolul PloiestiCupa României · Romania · 18/08 16:30163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
CSM Ramnicu Valcea – Chindia TargovisteCupa României · Romania · 18/08 16:301X246%+1.578%GG56%+2.554%
Atlanta United II – Chicago Fire IIMLS Next Pro · USA · 18/08 17:00146%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.577%
Buxoro – NeftchiSuper League · Uzbekistan · 18/08 17:00 · ☀ 33°1X250%+1.567%GG+2.5
CSKA Moscow – AkronCup · Russia · 18/08 17:30 · 🌧 19°176%X2+1.591%GG62%+2.577%
Rodina Moskva – FC OrenburgCup · Russia · 18/08 17:30192%X2+1.598%GG68%+2.594%
Pirin Blagoevgrad – Hebar 1918Second League · Bulgaria · 18/08 17:30 · ☀ 29°1X256%+1.592%GG74%+2.578%
Uribelarrea – EzeizaTorneo Promocional Amateur · Argentina · 18/08 18:001X39%2+1.5GG+2.5
Estrela U23 – Leixões U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:001X250%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Felgueiras U23 – Sporting Braga U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:00149%X2+1.590%GG72%+2.574%
Gil Vicente U23 – Academico Viseu U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:001X254%+1.597%GG85%+2.589%
Penafiel U23 – Marítimo U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:00141%X2+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Torreense U23 – Portimonense U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:00139%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Vizela U23 – Sporting CP U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 18:00136%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Namungo – Geita GoldLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 18/08 18:001X254%+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
1. FC Heidenheim – Bayern MünchenFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 18:001X256%+1.587%GG66%+2.569%
Bayern Hof – GroßbardorfOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:15146%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Fortuna Regensburg – ASV NeumarktOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:15148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Nordlingen – Ingolstadt IIOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:151X241%+1.584%GG65%+2.564%
Jahn Regensburg II – ChamOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:151X248%+1.570%GG+2.5
Weiden – KornburgOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:151X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
Würzburger FV – NeudrossenfeldOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:15143%X2+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
Stadeln – AmmerthalOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 18:151X254%+1.566%GG+2.5
Nassaji Mazandaran – Esteghlal FCPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 18/08 18:151X260%+1.590%GG70%+2.575%
Paykan – Gol GoharPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 18/08 18:151X237%+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Böljan – Varbergs BoIS FCSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Sollentuna – Orebro SKSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30176%X2+1.594%GG67%+2.582%
AFC Eskilstuna – OddevoldSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30149%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.557%
Karlberg – IK brageSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
IF Karlstad – SandvikenSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Västra Frölunda – IF ElfsborgSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30162%X2+1.593%GG74%+2.580%
Deisenhofen – KotternOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 18:30164%X2+1.589%GG65%+2.572%
Gundelfingen – IsmaningOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 18:30148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Schalding-Heining – TuS GeretsriedOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 18:30154%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.585%
Schwabmünchen – Sportfreunde SchwaigOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 18:301X268%+1.591%GG67%+2.576%
Landshut – 1860 München IIOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 18:301X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
IFK Skövde – Falkenbergs FFSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 18/08 18:30136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Aluminium Arak – Chadormalu SCPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 18/08 18:30 · ☀ 29°155%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Sogndal II – Varegg3. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 18/08 19:00143%X2+1.590%GG73%+2.574%
Viktoria Aschaffenburg – Eintracht BambergOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 19:00135%X2+1.571%GG51%+2.5
Gebenbach – DJK BambergOberliga – Bayern Nord · Germany · 18/08 19:00163%X2+1.593%GG73%+2.580%
Hankofen-Hailing – PipinsriedOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 19:001X264%+1.589%GG65%+2.572%
1880 Wasserburg – 1860 RosenheimOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 19:00136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Ludogorets II – VihrenSecond League · Bulgaria · 18/08 19:00 · ☀ 26°139%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Unionistas de Salamanca – AlcorconFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 19:001X237%+1.569%GG+2.5
Nykobing FC – NaestvedDBU Pokalen · Denmark · 18/08 19:00150%X2+1.579%GG56%+2.555%
Sporting Gijón II – LlaneraFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 19:00159%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Kirchanschöring – ErlbachOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 18/08 19:00142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Aubstadt – TSV 1860 MünchenRegionalliga – Bayern · Germany · 18/08 19:00144%X2+1.593%GG77%+2.580%
Sepahan FC – Tractor SaziPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 18/08 19:00140%X2+1.585%GG67%+2.566%
Spelle-Venhaus – VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 19:001X266%+1.590%GG66%+2.575%
Laredo – Athletic Club IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 19:001X241%+1.5GG+2.5
Akhmat – FakelCup · Russia · 18/08 19:451X249%+1.572%GG+2.5
FC Rostov – LokomotivCup · Russia · 18/08 19:45 · ☀ 24°174%X2+1.592%GG65%+2.578%
Claypole – MercedesPrimera C · Argentina · 18/08 20:001X240%+1.561%GG+2.5
Deportivo Muñiz – Juventud UnidaPrimera C · Argentina · 18/08 20:001X235%+1.563%GG+2.5
Athletico PR U17 – Vitoria U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:00168%X2+1.588%GG62%+2.571%
Atletico GO U17 – Sao Paulo U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:001X277%+1.569%GG+2.5
Atlético Mineiro U17 – Gremio U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:00158%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Bahia U17 – RB Bragantino U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:001X245%+1.585%GG65%+2.565%
Fortaleza U17 – America MG U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:00136%X2+1.577%GG57%+2.553%
Santos U17 – Internacional U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:00156%X2+1.578%GG53%+2.554%
Vasco U17 – Juventude U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 18/08 20:00159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Gremio Prudente U20 – RB Bragantino U20Paulista – U20 · Brazil · 18/08 20:001X282%+1.588%GG+2.571%
Doze – GELCapixaba B · Brazil · 18/08 20:00143%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Bellinzona – Basel II1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 18/08 20:00153%X2+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Godoy Cruz Res. – Vélez Sársfield Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 18/08 20:001X244%+1.565%GG+2.5
Unión Santa Fe Res. – Racing Club Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 18/08 20:00139%X2+1.576%GG56%+2.552%
FC Lisse – AalsmeerFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 20:00169%X2+1.590%GG65%+2.575%
Solihull Moors – Middlesbrough U21National League Cup · England · 18/08 20:00 · 🌦 17°1X289%+1.599%GG76%+2.596%
Marchamalo – GuadalajaraFriendlies Clubs · World · 18/08 20:00136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Caledonian Braves – ClydebankFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 18/08 20:45183%X2+1.599%GG86%+2.597%
Cumnock Juniors – Largs ThistleFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 18/08 20:451X261%+1.587%GG65%+2.570%
Kilwinning Rangers – Albion RoversFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 18/08 20:451X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Bedford Town – BuxtonNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 19°1X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Brackley Town – King's Lynn TownNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 18°154%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Darlington 1883 – ChesterNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 15°1X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Hebburn Town – Worksop TownNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 16°148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Hednesford Town – SouthportNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45149%X2+1.597%GG87%+2.591%
Hereford – RadcliffeNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · 🌦 18°147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Marine – ChorleyNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 17°152%X2+1.575%GG52%+2.551%
Merthyr Town – AFC Telford UnitedNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Morecambe – South ShieldsNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 17°1X239%+1.552%GG+2.5
Oxford City – Harborough TownNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 20°1X237%+1.563%GG+2.5
Scarborough Athletic – Spennymoor TownNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:45147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Spalding United – MacclesfieldNational League – North · England · 18/08 20:451X239%+1.552%GG+2.5
AFC Totton – Dorking WanderersNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:451X245%+1.558%GG+2.5
Dover – Tonbridge AngelsNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 32°1X250%+1.599%GG92%+2.596%
Hemel Hempstead Town – MaidenheadNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45146%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Horsham – Hampton & RichmondNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 21°169%X2+1.581%GG+2.559%
Maidstone Utd – Folkestone InvictaNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 22°1X283%+1.594%GG61%+2.583%
Slough Town – Farnham TownNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 21°1X249%+1.597%GG87%+2.591%
Torquay – Weston-super-MareNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 20°1X254%+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Walton & Hersham – Dagenham & RedbridgeNational League – South · England · 18/08 20:451X272%+1.571%GG+2.5
Ashton United – Whitby TownNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45159%X2+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Cleethorpes Town – Alfreton TownNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Curzon Ashton – Bamber BridgeNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45 · ☁ 16°143%X2+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Gainsborough Trinity – Stockton TownNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45161%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Guiseley AFC – BuryNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:451X255%+1.571%GG+2.5
Hyde United – United of ManchesterNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45161%X2+1.574%GG+2.5
Ilkeston Town – Warrington TownNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:451X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
Leek Town – AFC EmleyNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:451X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
Redcar Athletic – Lancaster CityNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45174%X2+1.580%GG+2.558%
Rylands – QuornNon League Premier – Northern · England · 18/08 20:45172%X2+1.585%GG53%+2.565%
Farense U23 – Estoril U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 18/08 21:00149%X2+1.597%GG87%+2.591%
Dinamo Zagreb – VikingUEFA Champions League · World · 18/08 21:00 · ☁ 24°172%X2+1.589%GG61%+2.573%
Fenerbahçe – LyonUEFA Champions League · World · 18/08 21:00 · ☀ 22°163%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Levski Sofia – AEK Athens FCUEFA Champions League · World · 18/08 21:00 · ☁ 22°159%X2+1.572%GG+2.5
Deportivo Riestra – Gimnasia L.P.Copa Argentina · Argentina · 18/08 22:001X260%+1.571%GG+2.5
Atlético Tucumán Res. – River Plate Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 18/08 22:00134%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Independ. Rivadavia – FluminenseCONMEBOL Libertadores · World · 19/08 00:00 · ☀ 9°161%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Deportivo Recoleta – Boca JuniorsCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 19/08 00:001X37%2+1.551%GG+2.5
Londrina – Atletico GoianienseSerie B · Brazil · 19/08 00:30 · ☀ 23°138%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
CTE Colatina – Audax São MateusCapixaba B · Brazil · 19/08 00:45147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Comercial – XV de PiracicabaCopa Paulista · Brazil · 19/08 01:00146%X2+1.5GG+2.5
Banfield – MidlandCopa Argentina · Argentina · 19/08 02:15 · ☀ 8°148%X2+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Nautico Recife – CearaSerie B · Brazil · 19/08 02:30 · 🌦 23°140%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
U. Catolica – Estudiantes L.P.CONMEBOL Libertadores · World · 19/08 02:30140%X2+1.551%GG+2.5
Sao Paulo – BolívarCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 19/08 02:30152%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
Goias – JuventudeSerie B · Brazil · 19/08 02:35 · ☀ 25°135%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
CS Cartagines – VerdesCONCACAF Central American Cup · World · 19/08 03:00 · ☁ 23°169%X2+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Real Estelí – CS HeredianoCONCACAF Central American Cup · World · 19/08 05:00158%X2+1.581%GG56%+2.559%
Xelajú – DiriangénCONCACAF Central American Cup · World · 19/08 05:00 · ☁ 13°143%X2+1.595%GG83%+2.586%
Auckland City – RewaOFC Champions League · World · 19/08 05:00 · ☁ 24°173%X2+1.598%GG85%+2.594%
ABM Galaxy – Central CoastOFC Champions League · World · 19/08 09:00 · ☁ 21°156%X2+1.590%GG70%+2.574%
LNZ Cherkasy U19 – Lviv U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 10:00146%X2+1.572%GG51%+2.5
Dong Thap – Ho Chi MinhFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 10:00152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Elche II – FC CartagenaFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 10:00143%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Dynamo Dresden U19 – Eintracht Frankf U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 11:001X267%+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Dynamo Kyiv U19 – SK Metalurh U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 11:00154%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
RSD Alcalá – Gimnástica SegovianaFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 11:00143%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
APIA Leichhardt Tigers – Melbourne VictoryAustralia Cup · Australia · 19/08 11:301X254%+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Bhawanipore – BSS SportingCalcutta Premier Division · India · 19/08 11:301X270%+1.580%GG+2.558%
George Telegraph – KalighatCalcutta Premier Division · India · 19/08 11:301X251%+1.578%GG55%+2.554%
Lech Poznań II – Lipno StęszewIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 12:00 · 🌧 18°140%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Asan Mugunghwa – Daejeon CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:00152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
Jeonbuk Motors – Dangjin CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:001X237%+1.579%GG59%+2.557%
Gimpo Citizen – Gimcheon Sangmu FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:00 · ⛅ 25°1X240%+1.566%GG+2.5
Pohang Steelers – Jinju CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:00 · ⛅ 26°1X246%+1.568%GG+2.5
Ulsan Citizen – Gwangju FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:00157%X2+1.579%GG54%+2.555%
Metalist 1925 U19 – Livyi Bereh U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 12:001X290%+1.591%GG+2.576%
Veres Rivne U19 – Obolon' Kyiv U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 12:001X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
Long An – Binh DuongFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 12:151X243%+1.577%GG56%+2.553%
FC Anyang – Jeju United FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:30158%X2+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Busan I Park – Bucheon FC 1995FA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:30 · ⛅ 27°141%X2+1.593%GG79%+2.581%
Gangwon FC – Seongnam FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 19/08 12:301X239%+1.562%GG+2.5
Altay – OrdabasyCup · Kazakhstan · 19/08 13:00 · ☁ 24°1X250%+1.599%GG92%+2.596%
Greuther Fürth U19 – RB Leipzig U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 13:00166%X2+1.588%GG63%+2.571%
Heidenheim U19 – Stuttgarter K'rs U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 13:001X262%+1.597%GG83%+2.589%
Karlsruher SC U19 – Freiburg U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 13:00142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Mbeya City – Dodoma JijiLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 19/08 13:00 · ⛅ 22°139%X2+1.565%GG+2.5
Oud-Heverlee Leuven II – KRC Genk IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 13:001X263%+1.586%GG62%+2.568%
Kolos Kovalivka U19 – Oleksandria U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 13:001X242%+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Zhytomyr U19 – Shakhtar Donetsk U19U19 League · Ukraine · 19/08 13:001X272%+1.571%GG+2.5
Young Star – Kayanza UnitedLigue A · Burundi · 19/08 13:001X239%+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Bayern München U19 – Stuttgart U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 14:00155%X2+1.596%GG84%+2.589%
Holstein Kiel U19 – Hamburger SV U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 14:00139%X2+1.591%GG75%+2.576%
Bentonit Ijevan – Pyunik IIFirst League · Armenia · 19/08 14:001X258%+1.598%GG89%+2.594%
Sant Andreu – ManresaFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 14:001X44%2+1.5GG+2.5
Getafe II – CF TalaveraFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 14:001X243%+1.575%GG54%+2.551%
Rakow II – Stilon GorzówIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 14:30159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Ararat II – Shirak IIFirst League · Armenia · 19/08 14:30141%X2+1.593%GG79%+2.581%
ŁKS Łódź II – WeszloIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 15:00 · ☁ 19°1X246%+1.5GG+2.5
Dynamos – Scotland MabvukuPremier Soccer League · Zimbabwe · 19/08 15:00 · ☀ 21°1X237%+1.561%GG+2.5
Araks Ararat – HayqFirst League · Armenia · 19/08 15:00 · ⛅ 31°163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Vietnam – MalaysiaASEAN Championship · World · 19/08 15:00 · ⛈ 26°154%X2+1.566%GG+2.5
Viking U19 – Brann U19Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Norway · 19/08 15:001X245%+1.598%GG89%+2.593%
Krylia Sovetov – ZenitCup · Russia · 19/08 15:15 · ⛅ 28°154%X2+1.576%GG52%+2.552%
Pamba Jiji – SimbaLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 19/08 15:151X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Elversberg U19 – Alemannia Aachen U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 15:30170%X2+1.595%GG75%+2.585%
Musongati – RukinzoLigue A · Burundi · 19/08 15:451X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Olmaliq – Dinamo SamarqandSuper League · Uzbekistan · 19/08 16:00 · ☀ 29°143%X2+1.582%GG62%+2.560%
Zhenys – KaisarCup · Kazakhstan · 19/08 16:00 · ☁ 18°1X245%+1.582%GG62%+2.561%
Miedź Legnica II – Odra Bytom OdrzańskiIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 16:001X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Babelsberg U19 – Union Berlin U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 16:001X272%+1.593%GG68%+2.580%
Carl Zeiss Jena U19 – Hertha BSC U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 16:001X293%+1.594%GG+2.583%
Pogoń-Sokół Lubaczów – Wisła Kraków IIIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 16:301X263%+1.569%GG+2.5
Jagiellonia II – Pelikan ŁowiczIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 16:301X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Wolfsburg U19 – Preußen Münster U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 16:30149%X2+1.594%GG79%+2.583%
CS Afumati – FC VoluntariCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Minaur Baia Mare – Corvinul HunedoaraCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:30183%X2+1.591%GG53%+2.577%
CIL Blaj – Progresul SpartacCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X248%+1.580%GG59%+2.558%
Corona Braşov – TunariCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X247%+1.584%GG63%+2.563%
Slatina – Sepsi OSK Sfantu GheorgheCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Bihor Oradea – Farul ConstantaCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Gloria Bistriţa – Metalul BuzăuCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X261%+1.592%GG72%+2.578%
Minerul Lupeni – Unirea SloboziaCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X277%+1.585%GG+2.566%
FC Politehnica Timisoara – ASA Targu MuresCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X245%+1.579%GG58%+2.555%
Popești-Leordeni – FC BacauCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:30159%X2+1.597%GG85%+2.591%
USV Iaşi – Sporting LieştiCupa României · Romania · 19/08 16:301X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
Mash'al – AndijanSuper League · Uzbekistan · 19/08 17:00 · ☀ 33°1X246%+1.566%GG+2.5
Grafičar – LoznicaPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 17:00 · ☀ 30°1X243%+1.568%GG+2.5
OFK Vršac – DubočicaPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 17:00 · ☀ 29°1X243%+1.568%GG+2.5
Chełmianka Chełm – Wisłoka DębicaIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:00138%X2+1.579%GG59%+2.555%
Korona Kielce II – Hetman ZamoscIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
KS Wieczysta Krakow II – Sokół Kolb.III Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X248%+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Moravia Morawica – NaprzódIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X260%+1.589%GG67%+2.572%
Siarka Tarnobrzeg – JarosławIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:00166%X2+1.585%GG57%+2.565%
Podlasie Biała Podlaska – Busko-ZdrojIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Sparta Katowice – Goczałkowice ZdrójIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 17:00160%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Karkonosze Jelenia Góra – Barycz SułówIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X243%+1.557%GG+2.5
Kluczbork – Zagłębie Lubin IIIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 17:00148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Warta Gorzów – Górnik PolkowiceIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 17:00159%X2+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Kalisz – Noteć CzarnkówIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 17:00 · ☁ 19°1X240%+1.587%GG70%+2.570%
Luzino – Chemik BydgoszczIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Flota Świnoujście – Victoria WrześniaIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 17:00139%X2+1.552%GG+2.5
Wda Świecie – Grom Nowy StawIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 17:00145%X2+1.585%GG65%+2.565%
Polonia Lidzbark Warm. – Olimpia ZambrówIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:00154%X2+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Mławianka Mława – Lechia T. MazowieckiIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:00147%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Olimpia Elbląg – Widzew IIIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:00 · ⛅ 17°1X240%+1.587%GG70%+2.570%
Wisła Płock II – ŁomżaIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:00167%X2+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Troszyn – Warta SieradzIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X266%+1.588%GG63%+2.571%
Ząbkovia Ząbki – Wigry SuwałkiIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:001X256%+1.578%GG53%+2.554%
KAMAZ – TekstilshchikFirst League · Russia · 19/08 17:00 · ☁ 19°1X241%+1.559%GG+2.5
Saarbrücken U19 – Viktoria Köln U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 17:001X261%+1.5100%GG95%+2.598%
Banants II – BKMA IIFirst League · Armenia · 19/08 17:001X256%+1.582%GG59%+2.561%
Sampdoria U20 – Sestri LevanteFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 17:00136%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
Rubin – Spartak MoscowCup · Russia · 19/08 17:30 · ☁ 23°1X291%+1.599%GG69%+2.595%
Swit – Mazovia Minsk MazowieckiIII Liga – Group 1 · Poland · 19/08 17:30146%X2+1.595%GG81%+2.584%
Kozlovice – SlavičínCup · Czech-Republic · 19/08 17:301X262%+1.582%GG56%+2.561%
Vålerenga W – Hønefoss WToppserien · Norway · 19/08 18:00167%X2+1.586%GG59%+2.568%
Levadia U19 – Narva U21Esiliiga B · Estonia · 19/08 18:00147%X2+1.589%GG71%+2.572%
Växjö Norra – IFK VarnamoSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:00176%X2+1.594%GG67%+2.582%
Star Starachowice – Czarni PołaniecIII Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 18:001X255%+1.571%GG+2.5
ROW Rybnik – Carina GubinIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 18:00180%X2+1.593%GG61%+2.580%
Zaglebie Sosnowiec – Ślęza WrocławIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 18:00160%X2+1.588%GG66%+2.571%
Elana Toruń – Unia SwarzędzIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 18:00136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
Kluczevia Stargard – Gedania GdanskIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 18:00148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Kotwica Kórnik – Bałtyk KoszalinIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 18:001X259%+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Rot-Weiß Erfurt U19 – Nürnberg U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:00167%X2+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Kagera Sugar – Singida Black StarsLigi kuu Bara · Tanzania · 19/08 18:001X260%+1.590%GG70%+2.575%
Hiiumaa – Nõmme UnitedCup · Estonia · 19/08 18:001X273%+1.5100%GG93%+2.598%
Olympic – Saku SportingCup · Estonia · 19/08 18:00158%X2+1.598%GG89%+2.594%
Krasava Odintsovo – AELFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 18:001X280%+1.597%GG76%+2.591%
Högaborg – Osters IFSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30152%X2+1.577%GG54%+2.553%
IFK Östersund – Degerfors IFSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30136%X2+1.570%GG+2.5
Franke – Ljungskile SKSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
FBK Karlstad – GIF SundsvallSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30163%X2+1.584%GG58%+2.564%
Enköping – Vasteras SK FKSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30149%X2+1.579%GG58%+2.557%
Angelholms FF – Kalmar FFSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 18:30160%X2+1.586%GG63%+2.567%
Zürich II – Amical Saint-Prex1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 18:30187%X2+1.593%GG51%+2.580%
Veles – Nizhny NovgorodFirst League · Russia · 19/08 18:30 · ⛅ 15°1X239%+1.578%GG58%+2.554%
Werder Bremen II – Weiche FlensburgRegionalliga – Nord · Germany · 19/08 18:301X256%+1.582%GG59%+2.561%
Augsburg U19 – Ulm U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X241%+1.576%GG55%+2.552%
Borussia M'bach U19 – Bayer Leverkusen U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X244%+1.595%GG82%+2.585%
Fortuna Köln U19 – Köln U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:30136%X2+1.580%GG60%+2.558%
FSV Frankfurt U19 – Darmstadt 98 U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X258%+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Hallescher FC U19 – Energie Cottbus U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X272%+1.588%GG59%+2.571%
1860 München U19 – SGV Freiberg Fussball U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:30157%X2+1.596%GG83%+2.588%
Paderborn U19 – Hannover 96 U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X277%+1.591%GG60%+2.576%
Jahn Regensburg U19 – Unterhaching U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:30158%X2+1.591%GG72%+2.577%
Schalke 04 U19 – Rot-Weiss Essen U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:30145%X2+1.558%GG+2.5
Wehen Wiesbaden U19 – Kaiserslautern U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 18:301X255%+1.593%GG76%+2.580%
Fajr Sepasi – Sanat NaftPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 19/08 18:301X34%2+1.559%GG+2.5
Malavan – ZOB AhanPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 19/08 18:30 · ☀ 25°139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Mes Shahr-e Babak – Kheybar KhorramabadPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 19/08 18:301X265%+1.588%GG64%+2.571%
Persepolis FC – Esteghlal KhuzestanPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 19/08 18:30155%X2+1.583%GG60%+2.562%
Trollhättan – Mjallby AIFSvenska Cupen · Sweden · 19/08 19:00153%X2+1.589%GG70%+2.573%
Javor – Jedinstvo UbPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 19:00 · ⛅ 23°146%X2+1.590%GG73%+2.575%
Teleoptik – NapredakPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 19:00 · ☀ 28°1X247%+1.571%GG+2.5
OFK Bor 1919 – FK VozdovacPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 19:001X243%+1.551%GG+2.5
Polonia Środa – Stargard SzczecińskiIII Liga – Group 2 · Poland · 19/08 19:00156%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Brøndby W – Køge WKvindeliga · Denmark · 19/08 19:001X254%+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Fortuna Hjørring W – AGF WKvindeliga · Denmark · 19/08 19:00179%X2+1.592%GG61%+2.578%
KoldingQ W – Odense Q WKvindeliga · Denmark · 19/08 19:001X267%+1.596%GG79%+2.588%
Sandhausen U19 – Hoffenheim U19U19 Bundesliga · Germany · 19/08 19:001X286%+1.599%GG82%+2.596%
Coruxo – PontevedraFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 19:001X264%+1.589%GG65%+2.572%
Gimnasia La Plata Res. – Sarmiento Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 19:00138%X2+1.559%GG+2.5
La Calzada – MirandesFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 19:001X277%+1.582%GG+2.561%
Guijuelo – RibertFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 19:15139%X2+1.567%GG+2.5
Brühl – Biel-Bienne1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 19:30159%X2+1.591%GG71%+2.576%
Kreuzlingen – Cham1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 19:30164%X2+1.584%GG57%+2.563%
Grand-Saconnex – FC Schaffhausen1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 19:30179%X2+1.595%GG69%+2.585%
Breitenrain – Young Boys II1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 19:30158%X2+1.596%GG82%+2.588%
Mamelodi Sundowns – Marumo GallantsPremier Soccer League · South-Africa · 19/08 19:30 · ☀ 17°164%X2+1.589%GG65%+2.572%
Foolad FC – Shams Azar QazvinPersian Gulf Pro League · Iran · 19/08 19:30 · ☀ 38°148%X2+1.579%GG57%+2.555%
Concordia – OţelulCupa României · Romania · 19/08 19:30172%X2+1.589%GG61%+2.573%
Dynamo – FC KrasnodarCup · Russia · 19/08 19:45 · ⛅ 15°1X251%+1.574%GG51%+2.5
Wiślanie Jaśkowice – KSZO 1929III Liga – Group 4 · Poland · 19/08 19:46148%X2+1.563%GG+2.5
Dalvík / Reynir – Magni2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00167%X2+1.584%GG55%+2.564%
Fjolnir – Fjardabyggd / Leiknir2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00157%X2+1.592%GG74%+2.578%
Hvíti riddarinn – KFG2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00156%X2+1.589%GG69%+2.572%
Kormákur / Hvöt – Haukar2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00149%X2+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
Vikingur Olafsiik – Thróttur Vogar2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00160%X2+1.587%GG64%+2.569%
Selfoss – Kári2. Deild · Iceland · 19/08 20:00143%X2+1.595%GG82%+2.585%
Tupy – Sport Brasil ESCapixaba B · Brazil · 19/08 20:001X41%2+1.5GG+2.5
Borac Cacak – NaftagasPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 20:00 · ⛅ 25°1X245%+1.558%GG+2.5
Metalac GM – Semendrija 1924Prva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 20:001X267%+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Polonia Nysa – Stal BrzegIII Liga – Group 3 · Poland · 19/08 20:001X251%+1.588%GG69%+2.571%
YF Juventus – Bavois1. Liga Promotion · Switzerland · 19/08 20:001X269%+1.586%GG58%+2.568%
Ponferradina – Real Madrid IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 20:001X243%+1.568%GG+2.5
Barcelona – Al AhlyFriendlies Clubs · World · 19/08 20:00164%X2+1.577%GG+2.553%
Tuggen – Dietikon1. Liga Classic – Group 3 · Switzerland · 19/08 20:00161%X2+1.585%GG61%+2.566%
Fortaleza U20 – Quixadá U20Cearense U20 · Brazil · 19/08 20:00150%X2+1.571%GG+2.5
Banfield Res. – Instituto Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:00137%X2+1.561%GG+2.5
Aldosivi Res. – Argentinos Juniors Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:001X235%+1.563%GG+2.5
Atl. Rafaela 2 – Quilmes 2Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:001X238%+1.566%GG+2.5
Ferro 2 – San Martín San Juan Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:00180%X2+1.590%GG54%+2.574%
Huracán Res. – Independiente Riva. Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:00149%X2+1.557%GG+2.5
Independiente Res. – Estudiantes La Plata ResReserve League · Argentina · 19/08 20:00150%X2+1.583%GG62%+2.562%
Winterthur II – Thalwil1. Liga Classic – Group 3 · Switzerland · 19/08 20:151X259%+1.580%GG55%+2.558%
Buochs – Bassecourt1. Liga Classic – Group 2 · Switzerland · 19/08 20:15156%X2+1.582%GG59%+2.561%
Auchinleck Talbot – BeithFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 19/08 20:45156%X2+1.588%GG67%+2.571%
Pollok – Johnstone BurghFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 19/08 20:45150%X2+1.569%GG+2.5
Troon FC – RenfrewFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 19/08 20:45167%X2+1.594%GG74%+2.583%
Farnborough – Chesham UnitedNational League – South · England · 19/08 20:45148%X2+1.586%GG67%+2.568%
Avro – WorkingtonNon League Premier – Northern · England · 19/08 20:45163%X2+1.578%GG+2.554%
Banks O' Dee – Turriff UnitedFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X237%+1.554%GG+2.5
Forres Mechanics – ClachnacuddinFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X274%+1.597%GG81%+2.591%
Inverurie Loco Works – FraserburghFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X258%+1.597%GG86%+2.591%
Nairn County – LossiemouthFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:00142%X2+1.584%GG64%+2.563%
Rothes – Formartine UnitedFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X292%+1.595%GG+2.586%
Strathspey Thistle – Brora RangersFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X269%+1.589%GG62%+2.572%
Wick Academy – InvergordonFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:001X248%+1.570%GG+2.5
TSC Backa Topola – FK Spartak Zdrepceva KRVPrva Liga · Serbia · 19/08 21:001X254%+1.589%GG69%+2.572%
Moreirense U23 – Famalicão U23Liga Revelação U23 · Portugal · 19/08 21:00138%X2+1.585%GG66%+2.565%
Keith – DeveronvaleFootball League – Highland League · Scotland · 19/08 21:00154%X2+1.581%GG58%+2.559%
Hapoel Beer Sheva – Sabah FAUEFA Champions League · World · 19/08 21:00 · ☀ 24°138%X2+1.568%GG+2.5
NEC Nijmegen – Bodo/GlimtUEFA Champions League · World · 19/08 21:00 · ☀ 16°149%X2+1.594%GG79%+2.583%
Slovan Bratislava – CeljeUEFA Champions League · World · 19/08 21:00 · ☁ 24°154%X2+1.584%GG62%+2.563%
Corinthians U17 – Fluminense U17Brasileiro U17 · Brazil · 19/08 22:00168%X2+1.587%GG60%+2.569%
New York City II – FC Cincinnati IIMLS Next Pro · USA · 19/08 23:00166%X2+1.587%GG61%+2.569%
Cobán Imperial – Antigua GFCLiga Nacional · Guatemala · 19/08 23:001X249%+1.591%GG74%+2.576%
United States W U17 – Canada W U17Friendlies Women · World · 19/08 23:001X240%+1.582%GG63%+2.561%

*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.

1xbet bonus
mathematical football prediction

What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means

People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.

The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:

  • Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
  • Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
  • Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
  • Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
  • Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds

None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.

Spotting Must-Win Teams Today

What makes a team a “must-win”?

A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.

The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:

  • Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
  • Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
  • Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
  • Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly

How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll

The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:

Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.

Daily picks, not daily nonsense

Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.

⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.

Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong

Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.

A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.

Where it goes wrong:

  • Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
  • Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
  • Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated

The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced

Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.

Where draws cluster:

  • Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
  • Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
  • End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe

Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.

Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is

Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.

My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.

Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?

The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.

Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.

Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.

Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React

The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.

That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.

BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score

BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.

BTTS tends to hit in matches where:

  • Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
  • Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
  • The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0

Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.

Predictions for Nigerian Bettors

Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.

If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.

The Short Version

A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.

Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.

FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting

What are mathematical football predictions?

Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.

How do you predict draws in football?

Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.

What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?

Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.

How do I find value bets?

A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.

Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?

The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.

Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?

Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.

Are your football predictions free?

Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.

Do you cover Nigerian football?

We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.

What’s the best market for beginners?

Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.