Mathematical Football Prediction: A Bettor’s Honest Guide
I’ve been betting on football for over a decade, and the single biggest shift in how I pick matches happened the day I stopped trusting my gut and started running the numbers. Mathematical football prediction isn’t magic. It’s just discipline plus data: expected goals, recent form, schedule congestion, lineup news. When you stack those properly, you spot value the casual bettor misses.
This guide is built around what actually works for me on a Saturday afternoon across the Premier League, La Liga, Serie A and Bundesliga. No fluff, no 100%-guaranteed nonsense.
| Match | 1 | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connecticut FC – Columbus Crew II 2–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 00:00 | 1✓ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 71% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Orsomarso – Barranquilla 1–0Primera B · Colombia · 27/07 00:00 | 1 | X✗ 35% | 2 | +1.5✗ 57% | GG | +2.5 |
| Delfines Del Este – Elite 2–0CONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · World · 27/07 00:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 41% | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✗ 62% | +2.5✗ 60% |
| Palmeiras – Atletico-MG 1–2Serie A · Brazil · 27/07 00:30 · ☀ 17° | 1✗ 51% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| Remo – Vitoria 2–0Serie A · Brazil · 27/07 00:30 · ☀ 26° | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 74% | GG✗ 50% | +2.5 |
| Deportivo Riestra – Boca Juniors 3–0Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 27/07 00:30 · ☁ 11° | 1 | X | 2✗ 46% | +1.5✓ 54% | GG | +2.5 |
| Washington Spirit W – Denver Summit W 1–0NWSL Women · USA · 27/07 01:00 | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 71% | GG✗ 50% | +2.5 |
| FC Cincinnati II – New England II 2–2MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 01:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 39% | +1.5✓ 74% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5 |
| Houston Dynamo FC II – Austin II 1–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 01:00 | 1✗ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✓ 60% | +2.5✗ 58% |
| Orlando City II – Huntsville City 0–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 01:00 | 1✗ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 94% | GG✗ 78% | +2.5✗ 82% |
| St. Louis City II – Vancouver Whitecaps II 1–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 01:00 | 1✗ 62% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 65% | +2.5✗ 71% |
| Necaxa – Monterrey 2–1Liga MX · Mexico · 27/07 01:00 | 1✓ 39% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 75% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Alianza Valledupar – Fortaleza FC 1–1Primera A · Colombia · 27/07 01:10 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Veraguas – Independiente de La Chorrera 1–1Liga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama · 27/07 01:15 | 1✗ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 74% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5 |
| Amazonas – Paysandu 2–1Serie C · Brazil · 27/07 01:30 · 🌦 29° | 1 | X✗ 33% | 2 | +1.5✓ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Blooming – The Strongest 1–1Primera División · Bolivia · 27/07 01:30 · ⛅ 22° | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Deportivo Garcilaso – FC Cajamarca 2–1Primera División · Peru · 27/07 02:00 · ☀ 10° | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 75% | GG | +2.5✓ 51% |
| Barcelona SC – LDU de Quito 0–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 27/07 02:15 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Concepción – O'Higgins 2–0Primera División · Chile · 27/07 02:30 | 1✓ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✗ 64% | +2.5✗ 62% |
| Angel City W – Racing Louisville W 1–2NWSL Women · USA · 27/07 03:00 | 1✗ 58% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 54% | +2.5✓ 57% |
| Laredo Heat – Vermont Green 1–7USL League Two · USA · 27/07 03:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 39% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| CF Pachuca – Club Queretaro 1–2Liga MX · Mexico · 27/07 03:06 · ⛅ 14° | 1✗ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 60% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Once Caldas – Cucuta 5–1Primera A · Colombia · 27/07 03:15 | 1✓ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Tacoma Defiance – Colorado Rapids II 2–1MLS Next Pro · USA · 27/07 04:00 | 1✓ 51% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✓ 53% | +2.5✓ 52% |
| Melbourne Victory II – North Sunshine Eagles 1–0Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · 27/07 11:30 | 1✓ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 87% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✗ 70% |
| Bulleen Lions – Langwarrin 3–1Victoria NPL 2 · Australia · 27/07 12:30 | 1✓ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 57% |
| Qingdao Red Lions – BIT 6–1League Two · China · 27/07 12:30 · ☁ 28° | 1✓ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 68% | GG | +2.5 |
| Singapore – Timor-Leste 2–0ASEAN Championship · World · 27/07 13:00 · ☁ 28° | 1✓ 46% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 78% | +2.5✗ 81% |
| Samtskhe Akhaltsikhe – Gagra 1–2David Kipiani Cup · Georgia · 27/07 14:30 | 1✗ 72% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 89% | GG✓ 61% | +2.5✓ 73% |
| Orenburg II – Krylya Sovetov II 0–0Second League – Group 4 · Russia · 27/07 15:00 | 1✗ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 75% | GG✗ 53% | +2.5✗ 51% |
| GOR Mahia – Vipers 0–1CECAFA Club Cup · World · 27/07 15:00 | 1✗ 59% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 97% | GG✗ 85% | +2.5✗ 91% |
| Indonesia – Cambodia 5–1ASEAN Championship · World · 27/07 15:30 · ☁ 25° | 1✓ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 78% | GG✓ 56% | +2.5✓ 54% |
| Gneist – Brann II 0–33. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 27/07 17:00 | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 95% | GG✗ 83% | +2.5✓ 86% |
| Tukums – Rīgas FS 0–1Virsliga · Latvia · 27/07 17:00 · ☁ 16° | 1 | X | 2✓ 43% | +1.5✗ 80% | GG✗ 60% | +2.5✗ 58% |
| Andijan – Buxoro 2–0Super League · Uzbekistan · 27/07 17:00 | 1✓ 47% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 75% | GG✗ 53% | +2.5✗ 51% |
| Lokomotiv – Sogdiana 3–1Super League · Uzbekistan · 27/07 17:00 · ☀ 32° | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 58% | +2.5✓ 55% |
| Olmaliq – Mash'al 2–1Super League · Uzbekistan · 27/07 17:00 · ☀ 30° | 1✓ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✓ 51% | +2.5✓ 52% |
| Valmiera / BSS – Riga FC II 3–01. Liga · Latvia · 27/07 17:00 | 1✓ 68% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 87% | GG✗ 60% | +2.5✓ 69% |
| CFR 1907 Cluj – FC Voluntari 5–0Liga I · Romania · 27/07 17:30 · ⛅ 24° | 1 | X | 2✗ 48% | +1.5✓ 86% | GG✗ 67% | +2.5✓ 68% |
| Hegelmann Litauen – FK Zalgiris Vilnius 2–3A Lyga · Lithuania · 27/07 17:45 | 1 | X | 2✓ 37% | +1.5✓ 58% | GG | +2.5 |
| Volda – Ranheim II 7–03. Division – Girone 2 · Norway · 27/07 18:00 | 1✓ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✗ 83% | +2.5✓ 87% |
| Vard – Sogndal II 4–43. Division – Girone 3 · Norway · 27/07 18:00 · ☁ 15° | 1✗ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 97% | GG✓ 87% | +2.5✓ 90% |
| Odd II – Våg 1–13. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 27/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 40% | +1.5✓ 90% | GG✓ 74% | +2.5✗ 75% |
| Grobiņa – Ogre United 2–2Virsliga · Latvia · 27/07 18:00 | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 81% | GG✓ 57% | +2.5✓ 59% |
| Nõmme United II – Viimsi 0–3Esiliiga A · Estonia · 27/07 18:00 · 🌦 21° | 1 | X | 2✓ 48% | +1.5✓ 77% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✓ 53% |
| Metta / LU – Tukums II 9–01. Liga · Latvia · 27/07 18:00 | 1✓ 80% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 96% | GG✗ 69% | +2.5✓ 87% |
| Dunav Ruse – Ludogorets 0–2First League · Bulgaria · 27/07 18:00 · ☀ 27° | 1 | X | 2✓ 41% | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✗ 52% |
| Al-Haras Al-Jumhuri – APR 1–3CECAFA Club Cup · World · 27/07 18:00 | 1✗ 60% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 97% | GG✓ 84% | +2.5✓ 89% |
| BK Hacken – AIK Stockholm 0–0Allsvenskan · Sweden · 27/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 40% | +1.5✗ 88% | GG✗ 71% | +2.5✗ 71% |
| Rosenborg – Fredrikstad 4–0Eliteserien · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1✓ 55% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 80% | GG✗ 57% | +2.5✓ 58% |
| Vittsjö W – Malmö FF W 1–0Damallsvenskan · Sweden · 27/07 19:00 · ☁ 16° | 1 | X | 2✗ 36% | +1.5✗ 62% | GG | +2.5 |
| Stabaek – hodd 6–01. Division · Norway · 27/07 19:00 · ☀ 19° | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 78% | GG✗ 54% | +2.5✓ 54% |
| Lokomotiv Oslo – KFUM II 2–03. Division – Girone 1 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 55% | +1.5✓ 93% | GG✗ 77% | +2.5✗ 81% |
| IF Ready – Frigg 3–33. Division – Girone 1 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1✗ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 92% | GG✓ 77% | +2.5✓ 79% |
| Union Carl Berner – Asker 1–23. Division – Girone 1 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✓ 64% | +1.5✓ 88% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✓ 71% |
| Haugesund II – Varhaug 2–23. Division – Girone 4 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 62% | +1.5✓ 91% | GG✓ 70% | +2.5✓ 76% |
| Kongsvinger II – Skedsmo 1–33. Division – Girone 5 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✓ 80% | +2.5✓ 83% |
| Lyn II – Oppsal 2–23. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 40% | +1.5✓ 85% | GG✓ 66% | +2.5✓ 65% |
| Sarpsborg 08 II – Ørn Horten 2–33. Division – Girone 6 · Norway · 27/07 19:00 | 1✗ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 82% | GG✓ 62% | +2.5✓ 61% |
| Orebro SK – Oddevold 0–0Superettan · Sweden · 27/07 19:00 · ☀ 19° | 1 | X | 2✗ 45% | +1.5✗ 84% | GG✗ 64% | +2.5✗ 63% |
| KAMAZ – Rotor Volgograd 0–2First League · Russia · 27/07 19:00 · ☁ 28° | 1✗ 49% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 94% | GG✗ 79% | +2.5✗ 83% |
| Osters IF – Varbergs BoIS FC 3–0Superettan · Sweden · 27/07 19:05 | 1 | X | 2✗ 46% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✗ 65% | +2.5✓ 64% |
| Fénix – Yupanqui 1–1Primera C · Argentina · 27/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 35% | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sacachispas – Leandro N. Alem 1–1Primera C · Argentina · 27/07 20:00 · 🌦 19° | 1✗ 56% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 74% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sportivo Barracas – El PorvenirPrimera C · Argentina · 27/07 20:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.552% | GG | +2.5 |
| Breidablik – IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1–0Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 27/07 20:00 | 1✓ 60% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 93% | GG✗ 76% | +2.5✗ 81% |
| Banfield Res. – Vélez Sársfield Res. 1–0Reserve League · Argentina · 27/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 2✗ 45% | +1.5✗ 58% | GG | +2.5 |
| Galatasaray – Venezia 0–3Friendlies Clubs · World · 27/07 20:00 · ⛅ 20° | 1 | X | 2✓ 77% | +1.5✓ 98% | GG✗ 81% | +2.5✓ 93% |
| Benjamín Aceval – Guairena FC 1–1Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 27/07 20:00 | 1✗ 44% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| CSKA Sofia – Botev Plovdiv 3–2First League · Bulgaria · 27/07 20:15 · ☀ 22° | 1✓ 36% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 68% | GG | +2.5 |
| FC Botosani – Rapid 1–1Liga I · Romania · 27/07 20:30 | 1✗ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✓ 64% | +2.5✗ 63% |
| Mushuc Runa SC – Libertad 0–2Liga Pro · Ecuador · 27/07 21:00 · 🌦 19° | 1✗ 48% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 66% | GG | +2.5 |
| La Equidad W – Fortaleza W 1–0Liga Femenina · Colombia · 27/07 21:00 | 1✓ 54% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 72% | GG | +2.5 |
| Gualberto Villarroel SJ – Universitario de Vinto 2–1Primera División · Bolivia · 27/07 21:00 · ☀ 17° | 1✓ 50% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 77% | GG✓ 55% | +2.5✓ 53% |
| KA Akureyri – Thor Akureyri 0–0Úrvalsdeild · Iceland · 27/07 21:15 · ☁ 9° | 1✗ 60% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 90% | GG✗ 70% | +2.5✗ 75% |
| Envigado – Real Soacha 1–0Primera B · Colombia · 27/07 22:30 | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 52% | GG | +2.5 |
| Guayaquil City FC – Universidad Catolica 0–0Liga Pro · Ecuador · 27/07 23:30 · ⛅ 31° | 1 | X✓ 37% | 2 | +1.5✗ 52% | GG | +2.5 |
| Bahia W – Botafogo W 2–1Brasileiro Women · Brazil · 28/07 00:00 · ☀ 22° | 1✓ 63% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG | +2.5✓ 52% |
| Talleres Córdoba Res. – River Plate Res. 0–0Reserve League · Argentina · 28/07 00:00 | 1✗ 36% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 72% | GG✗ 52% | +2.5 |
| Atletico Goianiense – Operario-PR 3–1Serie B · Brazil · 28/07 00:30 | 1✓ 37% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| CRB – Vila Nova 2–0Serie B · Brazil · 28/07 00:30 | 1✓ 41% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 76% | GG✗ 55% | +2.5✗ 52% |
| Sport Recife – Cuiaba 1–1Serie B · Brazil · 28/07 00:30 · 🌦 24° | 1✗ 40% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 63% | GG | +2.5 |
| Grêmio Prudente – Bandeirante SP 1–0Copa Paulista · Brazil · 28/07 00:30 · ☀ 23° | 1✓ 45% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 71% | GG | +2.5 |
| Atlanta – Almagro 1–3Primera Nacional · Argentina · 28/07 01:00 · ☀ 14° | 1✗ 64% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 59% | GG | +2.5 |
| Union Espanola – Recoleta 2–1Primera B · Chile · 28/07 01:00 | 1✓ 43% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 83% | GG✓ 63% | +2.5✓ 62% |
| Floresta – Maringá 1–1Serie C · Brazil · 28/07 01:00 · ☁ 25° | 1 | X | 2✗ 37% | +1.5✓ 79% | GG✓ 59% | +2.5✗ 57% |
| Guarani Campinas – Inter De Limeira 3–1Serie C · Brazil · 28/07 01:00 · ☀ 18° | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Antigua and Barbuda U20 – Guatemala U20 0–4CONCACAF U20 · World · 28/07 01:00 · 🌦 16° | 1 | X | 2✓ 56% | +1.5✓ 84% | GG✗ 61% | +2.5✓ 63% |
| 12 de Junio VH – 3 de Noviembre 1–0Division Intermedia · Paraguay · 28/07 01:00 | 1✓ 57% | X | 2 | +1.5✗ 73% | GG | +2.5 |
| Deportivo Cuenca – Emelec 2–1Liga Pro · Ecuador · 28/07 02:00 · 🌦 11° | 1✓ 42% | X | 2 | +1.5✓ 67% | GG | +2.5 |
| Depor FC – Ind. Yumbo 0–2Primera B · Colombia · 28/07 02:30 · 🌦 22° | 1 | X | 2✓ 40% | +1.5✓ 54% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tauro FC – Sporting San MiguelitoLiga Panameña de Fútbol · Panama · 28/07 03:30 | 138% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Costa Rica U20 – Mexico U20CONCACAF U20 · World · 28/07 04:00 · 🌦 14° | 1 | X | 257% | +1.585% | GG63% | +2.566% |
| UNAN Managua – Rancho SantanaPrimera Division · Nicaragua · 28/07 04:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima – Verspah OitaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 10:00 | 178% | X | 2 | +1.599% | GG88% | +2.597% |
| Tampines Rovers – Arema FCPiala Presiden · Indonesia · 28/07 10:30 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.581% | GG61% | +2.559% |
| Paro – ThimphuPremier League · Bhutan · 28/07 11:00 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG67% | +2.575% |
| BSS Sporting – RailwayCalcutta Premier Division · India · 28/07 11:30 | 160% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG | +2.551% |
| Patha Chakra – East BengalCalcutta Premier Division · India · 28/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 287% | +1.593% | GG51% | +2.580% |
| United Kolkata – Mohun BaganCalcutta Premier Division · India · 28/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.580% | GG59% | +2.558% |
| Philippines – MyanmarASEAN Championship · World · 28/07 12:00 · 🌦 25° | 149% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG56% | +2.554% |
| Derby – ValenciaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG64% | +2.568% |
| Nancy – AnnecyFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 189% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG64% | +2.591% |
| Quick Boys – Jong AZFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.598% | GG89% | +2.593% |
| South Park – KingstonianFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 253% | +1.592% | GG74% | +2.578% |
| Rouen – Al WakrahFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Blackburn Rovers U21 – Preston North End U21Friendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| DPMM FC Brunei – Persib BandungPiala Presiden · Indonesia · 28/07 14:30 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.563% |
| Malaysia – LaosASEAN Championship · World · 28/07 15:00 · ☁ 29° | 182% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG63% | +2.583% |
| Mogadishu City – Singida Black StarsCECAFA Club Cup · World · 28/07 15:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG57% | +2.555% |
| Al Nejmeh – Al AhedPremier League · Lebanon · 28/07 16:30 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Nasaf – QizilqumSuper League · Uzbekistan · 28/07 17:00 · ☀ 33° | 1 | X38% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Neftchi – NavbahorSuper League · Uzbekistan · 28/07 17:00 · ☀ 30° | 150% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Xorazm – SurkhonSuper League · Uzbekistan · 28/07 17:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.557% |
| Cagliari – ModenaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 270% | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.584% |
| Dainava – Transinvest 21 Lyga · Lithuania · 28/07 17:00 | 174% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG | +2.560% |
| KuPS – Sabah FAUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 17:00 · ☁ 17° | 1 | X | 259% | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| Kozuv Gevgelija – BelasicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 17:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Udinese – Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 17:30 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.569% |
| Žalgiris II – Minija1 Lyga · Lithuania · 28/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.582% | GG61% | +2.561% |
| UNFP – RED Star FC 93Friendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 258% | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.583% |
| Lincoln Red Imps FC – Mjallby AIFUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 18:00 · ⛅ 26° | 144% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| Rizespor – Hull CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.589% | GG71% | +2.572% |
| Jamus – SimbaCECAFA Club Cup · World · 28/07 18:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Hapoel Haifa – Ironi TiberiasToto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 28/07 18:45 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.576% |
| Helsingborg – United NordicSuperettan · Sweden · 28/07 19:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG63% | +2.561% |
| Landskrona BoIS – IFK NorrkopingSuperettan · Sweden · 28/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona – Maccabi HaifaToto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 28/07 19:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG72% | +2.574% |
| KAA Gent II – MVVFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 19:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.577% |
| NAC Breda – OFIFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 19:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.577% |
| Cambuur – Volos NFCFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 19:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Riga – Vardar SkopjeUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 28/07 19:00 · ☀ 18° | 158% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG82% | +2.588% |
| Apollon Limassol – DilaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 28/07 19:00 · ☀ 27° | 166% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG63% | +2.571% |
| Sparta Rotterdam – Asteras TripolisFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.573% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Sportfreunde Schwaig – 1880 WasserburgOberliga – Bayern Süd · Germany · 28/07 19:30 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG58% | +2.568% |
| Helenites – MetropolitanCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · World · 28/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.596% | GG83% | +2.587% |
| Mount Pleasant Academy – Weymouth WalesCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · World · 28/07 19:30 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| B36 Torshavn – ABMeistaradeildin · Faroe-Islands · 28/07 20:00 · 🌧 10° | 150% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Solihull Moors – Burton AlbionFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| Morecambe – AFC FyldeFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| GEL – LinharesCapixaba B · Brazil · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Fleetwood Town – BoltonFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG59% | +2.558% |
| Grimsby – LincolnFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| PSV Eindhoven – FC EindhovenFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 · ☀ 26° | 146% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG79% | +2.582% |
| Wealdstone – AFC WimbledonFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Dinamo Zagreb – FC ThunUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 20:00 · ☀ 25° | 1 | X34% | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Kidderminster Harriers – AlvechurchFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.581% |
| North Ferriby – ScunthorpeFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.584% | GG63% | +2.563% |
| Oldham – Stockport CountyFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.589% | GG65% | +2.572% |
| Oxford United – Crawley TownFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Swindon Town – Leyton OrientFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.560% |
| Drita – FlorianaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 28/07 20:00 · ☀ 20° | 1 | X34% | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Elche – Al AinFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Celje – Egnatia RrogozhinëUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 20:15 · ☀ 22° | 139% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG75% | +2.576% |
| Accrington ST – BuryFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 257% | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Cambridge United – NorthamptonFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 157% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG58% | +2.560% |
| Alfreton Town – Mansfield TownFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.594% | GG81% | +2.584% |
| Gateshead – South ShieldsFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Aston Villa – Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 · ☁ 25° | 1 | X | 259% | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Barnet – Milton Keynes DonsFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.563% |
| Carlisle – Salford CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.597% | GG87% | +2.591% |
| Carrick Rangers – ArdsFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG79% | +2.581% |
| Dagenham & Redbridge – Boreham WoodFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 280% | +1.598% | GG80% | +2.593% |
| Dollingstown – LinfieldFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Moyola Park – Limavady UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 240% | +1.577% | GG57% | +2.553% |
| Newport County – ReadingFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Newry City AFC – BangorFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.588% | GG69% | +2.571% |
| York – PeterboroughFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 251% | +1.585% | GG64% | +2.565% |
| Merthyr Town – SwanseaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG64% | +2.564% |
| Darlington 1883 – RotherhamFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.589% | GG65% | +2.572% |
| Pontefract Collieries – Guiseley AFCFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.571% | GG50% | +2.5 |
| Jwaaya FC – Al AnsarPremier League · Lebanon · 28/07 20:30 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Dartford – Chelmsford CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Farnham Town – Yeovil TownFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.574% |
| Sutton Utd – Folkestone InvictaFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG53% | +2.553% |
| Dover – Herne BayFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.555% |
| Crusaders FC – Newington YouthFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Bognor Regis Town – EastleighFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Bromley – MillwallFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| Hereford – ShrewsburyFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 277% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Heart Of Midlothian – Sturm GrazUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 20:45 · ☁ 17° | 1 | X | 281% | +1.597% | GG75% | +2.591% |
| Colchester – CharltonFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.581% | GG61% | +2.559% |
| Enfield Town – AFC HornchurchFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 278% | +1.586% | GG | +2.568% |
| Felixstowe & Walton Utd – BraintreeFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| Nantwich Town – ChesterFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Rochdale – FC Halifax TownFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.596% | GG85% | +2.589% |
| Stoke City – EvertonFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tamworth – MacclesfieldFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.590% | GG73% | +2.575% |
| Bo'ness United – Bonnyrigg Rose AthleticFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 252% | +1.587% | GG68% | +2.570% |
| Broxburn Athletic – Gala Fairydean RoversFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 28/07 20:45 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Celtic II – ClydebankFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| Civil Service Strollers – Hill Of Beath HawthornFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 28/07 20:45 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Cumbernauld Colts – Kilwinning RangersFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 264% | +1.595% | GG78% | +2.585% |
| Ramsbottom United – Bamber BridgeFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG64% | +2.574% |
| Worksop Town – Mickleover SportsFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG60% | +2.571% |
| Canvey Island – AveleyFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 269% | +1.590% | GG65% | +2.575% |
| Eastbourne United – Hastings UnitedFriendlies Clubs · World · 28/07 20:45 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG | +2.554% |
| Rubio NU – Sportivo AmelianoDivision Profesional – Clausura · Paraguay · 28/07 21:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Shamrock Rovers – Ararat-ArmeniaUEFA Champions League · World · 28/07 21:00 · ⛅ 21° | 180% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG76% | +2.591% |
| Ægir – Njardvik1. Deild · Iceland · 28/07 21:15 · ☁ 13° | 137% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG65% | +2.564% |
| Boca Juniors Res. – Belgrano Córdoba Res.Reserve League · Argentina · 28/07 22:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| Atlético Tembetary – ResistenciaDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 28/07 22:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Slingerz – Robin HoodCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · World · 28/07 22:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG77% | +2.583% |
| Inter Willemstad – Delfines Del EsteCONCACAF Caribbean Club Shield · World · 28/07 22:00 | 162% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG83% | +2.589% |
| Haiti U20 – Cuba U20CONCACAF U20 · World · 28/07 23:00 · 🌧 17° | 1 | X | 268% | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.582% |
| 2 de Mayo – Cerro PortenoDivision Profesional – Clausura · Paraguay · 28/07 23:30 · ☀ 25° | 144% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG53% | +2.5 |
| Cacahuatique – Atletico BalboaPrimera Division · El-Salvador · 28/07 23:30 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.593% | GG76% | +2.580% |
| Banfield – Sarmiento JuninLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 00:00 · ☁ 12° | 158% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| San Lorenzo – Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 00:00 · ☁ 12° | 149% | X | 2 | +1.572% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tigre – Club NacionalCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 29/07 00:00 · ☁ 12° | 170% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG | +2.554% |
| Juventude – AvaiSerie B · Brazil · 29/07 00:30 · 🌦 16° | 162% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Ponte Preta – Athletic ClubSerie B · Brazil · 29/07 00:30 · ☀ 21° | 1 | X | 246% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Independiente F.b.c. – Deportivo CapiataDivision Intermedia · Paraguay · 29/07 00:30 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| AFC Toronto W – Calgary Wild WNorthern Super League · Canada · 29/07 01:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.574% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Quindio – Deportes TolimaCopa Colombia · Colombia · 29/07 01:15 · 🌦 20° | 1 | X | 259% | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Bogota FC – Deportivo PastoCopa Colombia · Colombia · 29/07 02:00 | 1 | X | 239% | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Argentinos JRS – Estudiantes de Rio CuartoLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 02:15 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| Rosario Central – Racing ClubLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 02:15 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Santos – UCVCONMEBOL Sudamericana · World · 29/07 02:30 | 177% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG60% | +2.576% |
| Fortaleza EC – Botafogo SPSerie B · Brazil · 29/07 02:35 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.565% | GG | +2.5 |
| Tigres FC – Atletico NacionalCopa Colombia · Colombia · 29/07 03:30 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| El Salvador U20 – United States U20CONCACAF U20 · World · 29/07 04:00 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.594% | GG73% | +2.582% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa – FC Porto BFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 10:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG52% | +2.552% |
| Port FC – PersijaPiala Presiden · Indonesia · 29/07 10:30 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG54% | +2.551% |
| Celta Vigo – Academico ViseuFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 11:00 | 1 | X | 234% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
| Brindabella – Queanbeyan CityCapital Territory NPL · Australia · 29/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 261% | +1.582% | GG55% | +2.560% |
| AVS – VianenseFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 11:30 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.581% | GG60% | +2.559% |
| Tottenham – SydneyFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 11:45 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Cerezo Osaka – Borussia DortmundFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Asan Mugunghwa – Siheung CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 144% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| Bucheon FC 1995 – Paju CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.590% | GG72% | +2.574% |
| Busan I Park – FC SeoulFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG65% | +2.575% |
| Busan Transportation – Jinju CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu FC – Suwon City FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.590% | GG72% | +2.574% |
| Gimpo Citizen – Incheon UnitedFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG54% | +2.553% |
| Gwangju FC – Cheonan CityFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.578% | GG56% | +2.554% |
| Ulsan Citizen – Ulsan Hyundai FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG65% | +2.569% |
| Yeoju Sejong – Dangjin CitizenFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:00 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG59% | +2.558% |
| Cheongju – FC AnyangFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:30 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG65% | +2.575% |
| Jeju United FC – HwaseongFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 12:30 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.595% | GG83% | +2.586% |
| Åsane U19 – Sandefjord U19Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Norway · 29/07 13:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG77% | +2.580% |
| Cardiff City U21 – Manchester City U21Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 13:00 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Gimhae City – Seongnam FCFA Cup · South-Korea · 29/07 13:00 | 167% | X | 2 | +1.594% | GG74% | +2.583% |
| Cadiz – AD Ceuta FCFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 135% | X | 2 | +1.571% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| Leixoes – VizelaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 175% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG73% | +2.586% |
| Pogoń Szczecin II – Carina GubinFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.578% |
| Saint Etienne – LausanneFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 271% | +1.595% | GG75% | +2.585% |
| Waalwijk – TelstarFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.567% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa – LeçaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 163% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG58% | +2.564% |
| Pacos Ferreira – Felgueiras 1932Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.582% | GG61% | +2.560% |
| Tondela – São João VerFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 1 | X38% | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| KVC Westerlo – KifisiaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| Alverca – AcademicaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 14:00 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG | +2.552% |
| Thimphu City – TensungPremier League · Bhutan · 29/07 14:00 | 169% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG | +2.553% |
| Persebaya Surabaya – PSMS MedanPiala Presiden · Indonesia · 29/07 14:30 | 143% | X | 2 | +1.575% | GG54% | +2.551% |
| Fredrikstad FK U19 – Stabæk U19Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Norway · 29/07 15:00 | 145% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG70% | +2.571% |
| KVZ – Al Hilal OmdurmanCECAFA Club Cup · World · 29/07 15:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.586% | GG66% | +2.567% |
| Reyady Abaseya – Tadamon SourPremier League · Lebanon · 29/07 16:00 | 1 | X34% | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Dukagjini – FC LuganoUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 29/07 16:30 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Frosinone – SambenedetteseFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 16:30 | 173% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG66% | +2.579% |
| Dinamo Samarqand – Kokand-1912Super League · Uzbekistan · 29/07 17:00 | 150% | X | 2 | +1.577% | GG55% | +2.553% |
| Kaisar – ZhenysCup · Kazakhstan · 29/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 249% | +1.591% | GG74% | +2.576% |
| Cremonese – CittadellaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 17:00 | 170% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG64% | +2.575% |
| Palermo – Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 17:00 | 179% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG62% | +2.580% |
| Kairat Almaty – Omonia NicosiaUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 17:00 | 154% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG52% | +2.552% |
| Belasica – Kozuv GevgelijaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 17:00 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| MP – KäPaYkkösliiga · Finland · 29/07 17:30 · ☀ 21° | 146% | X | 2 | +1.578% | GG56% | +2.554% |
| Strømsgodset U19 – Tromsø U19Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Norway · 29/07 17:30 | 183% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG77% | +2.593% |
| Arezzo – AlbinoleffeFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 17:30 | 139% | X | 2 | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Aalesunds U19 – Lillestrøm U19Nasjonal U19 Champions League · Norway · 29/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 268% | +1.597% | GG82% | +2.590% |
| Sokol Brozany – Ústí nad Labem IIFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:00 | 171% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG64% | +2.575% |
| AEK Athens FC – SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:00 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.563% | GG | +2.5 |
| Konyaspor – Al-Ittihad KalbaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 260% | +1.581% | GG55% | +2.559% |
| Motorlet Praha – Sokol ZápyFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:00 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG71% | +2.574% |
| Kauno Žalgiris – KI KlaksvikUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 247% | +1.571% | GG | +2.5 |
| 1899 Hoffenheim – Holstein KielFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:00 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.597% | GG87% | +2.591% |
| Rayon Sports – TuskerCECAFA Club Cup · World · 29/07 18:00 | 155% | X | 2 | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Girona – CastellónFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:30 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.576% | GG55% | +2.552% |
| Lokeren-Temse – Patro EisdenFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 18:30 | 158% | X | 2 | +1.588% | GG67% | +2.571% |
| Maccabi Petah Tikva – Maccabi NetanyaToto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 29/07 18:45 | 1 | X | 255% | +1.583% | GG60% | +2.562% |
| Kickers Offenbach – VfB StuttgartFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 284% | +1.595% | GG62% | +2.584% |
| Real Sociedad II – EibarFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG67% | +2.576% |
| Lech Poznan – AarhusUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 19:00 | 187% | X | 2 | +1.596% | GG62% | +2.588% |
| FC Copenhagen – PolessyaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 29/07 19:00 | 141% | X | 2 | +1.598% | GG90% | +2.594% |
| Hapoel Ramat Gan – Hapoel Petah TikvaToto Cup Ligat Al · Israel · 29/07 19:00 | 142% | X | 2 | +1.573% | GG52% | +2.5 |
| AS Eupen – AywailleFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:00 | 190% | X | 2 | +1.597% | GG64% | +2.591% |
| Racing Santander – Athletic ClubFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:00 | 1 | X | 290% | +1.590% | GG | +2.575% |
| Barracas Central – AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 19:30 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.562% | GG | +2.5 |
| Deportivo La Coruna – LugoFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:30 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG58% | +2.557% |
| Wulfrath – HildenFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 19:30 | 165% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG73% | +2.581% |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva – Vikingur ReykjavikUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 19:30 | 1 | X | 248% | +1.586% | GG67% | +2.568% |
| Universitatea Craiova – Levski SofiaUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 19:30 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.555% | GG | +2.5 |
| Al Sahel – KhaitanDivision 1 · Kuwait · 29/07 19:45 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.566% | GG | +2.5 |
| Sporty – YarmoukDivision 1 · Kuwait · 29/07 19:45 | 1 | X | 271% | +1.575% | GG | +2.551% |
| Al Sulaibikhat – ShamiyaDivision 1 · Kuwait · 29/07 19:45 | 152% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG58% | +2.558% |
| Burgan – Al JaziraDivision 1 · Kuwait · 29/07 19:45 | 1 | X | 254% | +1.572% | GG | +2.5 |
| Fylkir – Völsungur1. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 20:00 | 161% | X | 2 | +1.585% | GG61% | +2.566% |
| Magni – Fjardabyggd / Leiknir2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 20:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.581% |
| Selfoss – Dalvík / Reynir2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 20:00 | 147% | X | 2 | +1.592% | GG77% | +2.579% |
| Forest Green – Bristol CityFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 259% | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| Boston United – GrimsbyFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 245% | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Gornik Zabrze – FenerbahçeUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 20:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.570% | GG | +2.5 |
| Real Betis – LyonFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.554% | GG | +2.5 |
| Farnborough – PortsmouthFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 238% | +1.579% | GG59% | +2.555% |
| Maritimo – EstrelaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 246% | +1.572% | GG51% | +2.5 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda – LarneUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 20:00 | 172% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG64% | +2.576% |
| Marino de Luanco – Real AvilésFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:00 | 1 | X | 243% | +1.577% | GG56% | +2.553% |
| Slovan Bratislava – SaburtaloUEFA Champions League · World · 29/07 20:15 | 1 | X | 242% | +1.592% | GG76% | +2.578% |
| Bradford – PrestonFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:30 | 175% | X | 2 | +1.590% | GG60% | +2.574% |
| Bristol City – NewcastleFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:30 | 1 | X34% | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Doncaster – WolvesFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:30 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.591% | GG71% | +2.576% |
| Watford – FiorentinaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:30 | 164% | X | 2 | +1.595% | GG77% | +2.584% |
| Rapid Vienna – FC Santa ColomaUEFA Europa Conference League · World · 29/07 20:30 | 159% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG55% | +2.558% |
| Burnley – EspanyolFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 280% | +1.585% | GG | +2.566% |
| Beith – Cumnock JuniorsFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 29/07 20:45 | 153% | X | 2 | +1.589% | GG70% | +2.573% |
| Dunipace – Lochee UnitedFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 29/07 20:45 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Gretna 2008 – Newton StewartFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 29/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 244% | +1.589% | GG72% | +2.573% |
| Johnstone Burgh – Troon FCFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 29/07 20:45 | 148% | X | 2 | +1.579% | GG57% | +2.555% |
| Renfrew – PollokFootball League – Lowland League · Scotland · 29/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 263% | +1.595% | GG79% | +2.585% |
| Ipswich – OsasunaFriendlies Clubs · World · 29/07 20:45 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.582% | GG62% | +2.560% |
| Sportivo Luqueno – Sportivo TrinidenseDivision Profesional – Clausura · Paraguay · 29/07 21:00 | 136% | X | 2 | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Grindavik – Leiknir R.1. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 1 | X34% | 2 | +1.559% | GG | +2.5 |
| Throttur Reykjavik – Afturelding1. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 1 | X | 241% | +1.580% | GG60% | +2.558% |
| Haukar – KFG2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 176% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG65% | +2.580% |
| Kári – Kormákur / Hvöt2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.582% | GG59% | +2.561% |
| Vikingur Olafsiik – Fjolnir2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 146% | X | 2 | +1.593% | GG78% | +2.581% |
| Thróttur Vogar – Hvíti riddarinn2. Deild · Iceland · 29/07 21:15 | 151% | X | 2 | +1.584% | GG62% | +2.563% |
| Club Atletico Barinas – Real FronteraSegunda División · Venezuela · 29/07 21:30 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.586% | GG64% | +2.567% |
| Atletico el Vigia FC – Deportivo LaraSegunda División · Venezuela · 29/07 21:30 | 1 | X | 250% | +1.575% | GG53% | +2.551% |
| Urena SC – Puerto Cabello IISegunda División · Venezuela · 29/07 21:30 | 1 | X | 237% | +1.567% | GG | +2.5 |
| Defensa Y Justicia – Deportivo RiestraLiga Profesional Argentina · Argentina · 29/07 22:00 | 140% | X | 2 | +1.5 | GG | +2.5 |
| Jamaica U20 – Panama U20CONCACAF U20 · World · 29/07 22:00 | 168% | X | 2 | +1.587% | GG60% | +2.569% |
| Gualaceo SC – MacaraCopa Ecuador · Ecuador · 29/07 22:00 | 137% | X | 2 | +1.569% | GG | +2.5 |
| Fundación Lara Deportiva – Zamora FC BSegunda División · Venezuela · 29/07 22:00 | 149% | X | 2 | +1.576% | GG54% | +2.552% |
| Cuniburo – San AntonioLiga Pro Serie B · Ecuador · 29/07 22:30 | 156% | X | 2 | +1.568% | GG | +2.5 |
| Nacional Asuncion – OlimpiaDivision Profesional – Clausura · Paraguay · 29/07 23:30 | 1 | X | 234% | +1.561% | GG | +2.5 |
*Odds correct as of date published, prices subject to change, check 1XBET for actual odds.
What Mathematical Football Prediction Actually Means
People hear “mathematical model” and picture a black box that spits out winners. The reality is more boring. A decent model takes every match a team has played, weighs the quality of their opponents, adjusts for home advantage, and then estimates a probability for each scoreline. Poisson distributions, Elo-style ratings, and xG (expected goals) are the three building blocks most public models use.
The model doesn’t care about your favourite club. That’s its main advantage. The variables that matter most in my own workflow:
- Expected goals for and against, ideally over the last 8 to 12 matches
- Goalkeeper status (a backup keeper can swing the line by 0.3 goals)
- Travel and rest days, especially in midweek European fixtures
- Referee tendencies for cards and penalty calls
- Weather, but only for under/over markets in winter rounds
None of these guarantee a win. They shift probabilities, and probabilities are all you have when you’re betting.
Spotting Must-Win Teams Today
What makes a team a “must-win”?
A must-win isn’t just the favourite. It’s a team where the situation, the form and the opponent line up. Think Bayern at home against a newly promoted side in October. Or Real Madrid hosting a mid-table La Liga club the weekend before a Champions League knockout, where the bookies still price them at short odds and the model agrees.
The four things I check before calling a side a genuine must-win:
- Form: at least 4 wins in their last 6, ideally with clean sheets
- Opposition trouble: missing a key defender, on a bad run, or just travelled across Europe
- Home record: many teams are completely different sides at home, and the gap is bigger than people think
- Motivation: title race, top-four push, or a derby that the squad won’t take lightly
How to use must-win picks without blowing your bankroll
The mistake I made for years was stacking five “must-wins” into an accumulator. One late equaliser kills the slip every single time. What works better:
Singles on the highest-confidence pick of the day. Boring, but the maths is on your side. Two-fold accas when two picks each clear 70% in the model, which gives roughly 50% combined and decent returns at the typical 1.40-1.60 acca price. Asian handicap -1 if the favourite is too short for a straight win but the model expects a comfortable scoreline. I almost never touch 4+ accumulators on must-wins. The variance eats you alive.
Daily picks, not daily nonsense
Every day at Forwins we publish the matches our model rates highest, with the probability for each market shown next to the tip. If the number is below 70% on a 1X2 pick, we don’t post it. If you only see two or three matches on a quiet Tuesday, that’s the point.
⚠️ Bet responsibly. Stake what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, stop.
Over 2.5 Predictions: What Most People Get Wrong
Over 2.5 means three or more goals in the match. Simple market, simple rule. The bit people miss is that “both teams score a lot” doesn’t automatically mean over 2.5 hits. You need pace and chance creation, not just two leaky defences.
A useful rule of thumb: if the combined xG for the fixture sits above 2.8 and neither side has parked the bus in their last five league games, over 2.5 is usually live. Bayer Leverkusen and Stuttgart games in 2024-25 are the textbook example. Two attacking sides, both pressing high, with combined goal totals north of 3 in most weeks.
Where it goes wrong:
- Big derbies. Tactically tight, lots of yellow cards, fewer chances than the season average suggests
- Wet pitches and December rounds in Northern Europe
- Sides that have just played a Europa or Champions League midweek game and rotated
The Draw: Underrated and Often Mispriced
Most casual bettors never touch the X. That’s exactly why there’s value in it. Draws are statistically the rarest of the three 1X2 outcomes in most leagues (around 24-28% in the top five European leagues), but when the model and the situation point to one, the typical 3.20-3.60 price is generous.
Where draws cluster:
- Teams within 2-3 points of each other in the table
- Matches between defensive sides with low xG totals (think Atletico Madrid vs Real Sociedad)
- End-of-season fixtures where both teams are already safe
Serie A produces more draws than any other top league, year after year. Italian football is built around defensive shape, and that shows in the scorelines. If you want to specialise in draws, start there.
Weekend Picks: Where the Real Volume Is
Saturdays and Sundays carry the bulk of the betting calendar. Premier League and La Liga slates on the same day, plus Serie A and Bundesliga, plus the smaller leagues. There’s too much football to bet on every match, and trying is the fastest way to lose a bankroll.
My weekend filter is simple. I rank every match by model confidence, throw out anything below 70%, and look for two or three plays where the bookie line and my model disagree by more than 5 percentage points. Those are the value bets. A “lock” at 1.20 with a true 90% chance is fine, but you make real money when the line is wrong, not when it’s right.
Can You Really Get 90% Accurate Predictions?
The honest version is less exciting: it holds up on safe markets across a short run of bets, and falls apart the moment you want better odds.
Over 1.5 goals in Bundesliga matches hits around 88% historically. Double chance on a heavy home favourite against a bottom-table side hits 90%+. But those are 1.10-1.25 odds. To grow a bankroll meaningfully on those, you’d need huge stakes, and a single 10% loss wipes out many wins.
Anyone selling you “90% accurate predictions” at decent odds is either cherry-picking past results or selling you a dream. The honest target for a profitable bettor is 55-58% on near-evens lines. That’s the level where compounding actually works.
Football Prediction for Tomorrow: Plan, Don’t React
The biggest edge you can get isn’t a better model. It’s earlier lines. Bookmaker odds the day before a match are softer than the same lines an hour before kick-off, because the market hasn’t adjusted to the late money yet. If your model fancies the away team and the price is 2.80 today, it’s likely closer to 2.50 by Saturday morning.
That’s why we publish next-day previews every evening at Forwins. Read them, check the team news the morning of the match, and place early when the value is still there.
BTTS Tips: When Both Teams Actually Score
BTTS is a strange market. It looks like a coin flip, but the long-term hit rate across the top leagues sits around 52-54%. The model edge is small, which means the bookmaker margin matters more here than on most markets. Always shop the line.
BTTS tends to hit in matches where:
- Both teams have scored in 4+ of their last 6 matches
- Neither side has a stand-out goalkeeper
- The favourite likes to attack rather than sit on a 1-0
Bundesliga is the BTTS league. La Liga and Ligue 1 are the worst for it, because the bottom-half teams often struggle to score at all.
Predictions for Nigerian Bettors
Nigeria has one of the most active football betting communities in Africa, and the markets popular with Nigerian bettors aren’t always the ones I’d default to. Multi-bets on weekend EPL games are everywhere. So is interest in the NPFL, where pricing is wider because fewer models cover the league.
If you bet from Nigeria, the same rules apply: stick to leagues you can actually follow, avoid huge accumulators no matter how tempting the payout looks, and shop for the best line. We cover the main European leagues plus selected NPFL fixtures.
The Short Version
A model gives you probabilities. You compare them to the bookie’s price. When your number is meaningfully higher, you bet. When it isn’t, you skip. That’s the entire job.
Everything else, including how many picks we post each day, which leagues we cover, and which markets we trust, follows from that idea. We publish daily previews for the top leagues, plus weekend round-ups every Friday. Take what’s useful, ignore what isn’t.
FAQ: Football Predictions & Betting
What are mathematical football predictions?
Mathematical football predictions are forecasts built from statistical models rather than gut feeling. They combine recent form, expected goals, head-to-head data, lineup news, and home advantage to produce a probability for each outcome. Think of it as a forecast rather than a guarantee. It gives you the likelihood of each result and a sense of how far to trust that number.
How do you predict draws in football?
Look for matches between teams of similar quality (within a few points in the table), low combined xG, and defensive styles. Serie A produces the most draws of any top European league. Atletico-style sides that prioritise structure over attacking risk are also reliable draw candidates, especially when they meet each other.
What does Over 2.5 mean in football betting?
Over 2.5 means betting that the match will end with three or more goals. Final scores of 2-1, 3-0, 3-2, 4-1 all win. A 2-0, 1-1 or 0-0 loses. It’s one of the most popular goal markets because the line cuts cleanly through the most common scorelines.
How do I find value bets?
A value bet is one where your estimated probability is higher than what the bookmaker’s odds imply. If you think a team has a 60% chance to win and the price is 1.90 (implied probability 52.6%), that’s value. Finding these consistently requires a method for estimating probability that isn’t just based on which team you like.
Are weekend predictions different from weekday ones?
The method is the same, but weekends have far more matches, so the filter has to be tighter. With 20+ games across the top leagues on a Saturday, you can afford to skip 90% of them and only bet the ones where the model edge is clear. Weekday matches often have softer lines because the market is thinner.
Can football predictions really be 90% accurate?
Only on safe markets like Over 1.5 in attacking leagues or double chance on heavy favourites, where odds are too short to grow a bankroll meaningfully. On more useful markets like 1X2 picks at 1.80-2.20, a sustainable hit rate sits in the 55-60% range. Anyone claiming 90% accuracy at decent odds is cherry-picking results.
Are your football predictions free?
Yes. All daily picks, weekend previews, and analysis on Forwins.com are free. We publish full reasoning alongside each tip so you can judge whether the logic holds, rather than just copying the bet blindly.
Do you cover Nigerian football?
We cover selected NPFL fixtures and any international matches involving Nigerian teams. The bulk of our daily output is the top European leagues, since that’s where the lines are sharpest and our data is most reliable.
What’s the best market for beginners?
Double chance (1X or X2) is the gentlest starting point. You’re covering two outcomes out of three, so the hit rate is naturally high, and it forces you to think about which outcome you’re ruling out rather than which one you’re picking. Once you’re comfortable, move to 1X2 and over/under markets.
